The Cincinnati Reds have played the most games Under the total in MLB this season, and🐬 there is not much reason to think things will change Saturﷺday versus the Chicago Cubs.
The Reds start Luis Castillo, who has pitched like a Cy Young candidate this season. He is 7-2 with a 2.56 ERA and has allowed more than two earned runs in just three of his 16 starts. Jose Quintana, who opposes him for the Cubs, is 4-7 with a 4.50 ERA, but other than a few outlier starts has been pretty consistent. He has given up more than three earned runs in three of his past 14 starts and has a fielding indep🧸endent number that is lower than his ERA and benefits♌ from pitching to a Reds team that is scoring the third-fewest runs per game in June (3.7).
The Reds have played 64.5 percent of t♏heir games Under in 2019 thanks to great pitching and suspect hitting. This combo should lead to a low-scoring game and a chance to make some money.
The play: Cubs-Reds, Under 9¹/₂ runs.