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CD rates may be peaking. Should you lock away your money now?

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A cerļ·½tificate of deposit lets you lock ź§ƒin a fixed interest rate for a set amount of time. CD rates have been high over the past few years, helping savers earn more money and beat inflation. 

The Federal Reserve has recently paused raising interest rates ā€” and indicated that cuts may ąµ²be on the horizon. Some experts think CD rates may soon start falling. 

Does that mean now is the time to lock up your money in a long-term CD? Orā™” is your money better off somewhere else? Hereā€™s what you need to šŸ§øknow. 

How do CD interest rates work? 

CDs are savings accounts that keep your money locked up for a set period of time. Most CD terms range from three months to five years. In exchange foš”r agreeing not to touch your money for the duration of the CD, the bank pays you interest. 

CD rates are largely determined by the Federal Reserveā€™s federal funds rate. This is the interest rate banks charge each other for overnight lending. When the Fed raises its benź¦”chmark rate, rates on CDs or high-yield savings accounts tend to rise, too. 

That explains why CD rates soared as the Fed started hiking rates in 2022 tź¦•o combat inflation. In March 2022, was arź¦°ound 0.40%. By the end of 2023, it was 1.43%.

Typically, the longer the CD ā€term, the higher the interest rate. So a 5-year CD pays often more ź¦¬than a 1-year CD.

But in the past few years, you can often find higher rates on shorter-term CDs. Thatā€™s because banks expect rates to fall in the future and are hesitant tšŸ…ŗo let savers lock in high ršŸŽates for years. 

Have CD rates peaked? 

With the Fed holding steady, many financial experts think CD yields have peaked ā€” at least for now. Greg McBride, Bankrateā€™s chief financial analyst, predicts the national averašŸŒ ge yield for five-year CDs will drop to around 1% in 2024. 

That said, no one can predict the fāœ¤uture with 100% accuracy. Some analysts think inflation could heat up, forcing the Fed to raise rates again. Other experts believe we could be headed for a recession that would prompt the Fed to cut rates more quicklyā™•.

But the consensus seems to be that CD yields are close to topping out. So, does that mean it makes sense to lock your money away in a long-term šŸ°CD?

Why you should lock in a long-term CD right now

The best argument for investing in a multi-year CD today is that you can locšŸŸk in a strong fixed interest rate. 

Other accounts, like high-yield savings accounts, have variable interest rates that can fluctuatź¦•e. Youā€™ll earn a guaranteed rate with a CD, no matter what the Federal Reserve does. 

If you have extra cash you donā€™t need for a cź¦‡ouple of years, it may be smartź¦› to deposit it in a CD. 

“Taking advantage of the currently higher interest rates on CD products can be a great idea, provided it matches your timeframe,” says Faron Daugs, a certified financial planner at Harrison Wallace Financial Group. “Locking in a higher rate for a longer period of time can help add stability and higher yields to your portfolio or even just your cash reserves.”

What to consider before you commit 

Of course, thereā€™s the chance that CD rates could rise, and you could miss out on bigger returns later. If the Fed raź¦°ises rates again in the future, your money will be stuck earning the fixed yield you locked in now.

Tying up your savings for years also reduces your flexibility. Maybe you receive an unexpected home repair bill or medical expense. Or the housing market cools, and thereā€™s an opportunity to buy. If your cash is locked in a CD, you can’t access it without paying an early withdrawal fee. 

“CDs tend to be poor investments for long-term savings goals, like retirement, because they do not offer the returns of other long-term investments,” says Matt Hylland, a financial planner at Arnold and Mote Wealth Management. 

For example,šŸŽ the highest-yielding CDs offered around 5-6% APY in 2023. The S&P 500 gained around 24% that year ā€” and some in 2024. 

ā€œBefore locking your money into a multi-year CD, you should be fairly certain that you wonā€™t need to touch that cash for the duration of the term,” says Ben McLaughlin, savings expert at Raisin, an online savings platform. “If you have no other financial cushion to protect you in an emergency, locking up those funds could cause more harm than good.”

Who should (and shouldnā€™t) invest in a long-term CD right now

Deciding whether to lock up your money right now depends on your situation. Long-term CDs appeal most to low-risk investors who want stable returns over growth. Specź¦›ifically, long-term CDsšŸŒŸ may make the most sense if:

  • Youā€™re a retiree who needs fixed income: Locking in today’s rates via a CD ladder can bring stability alongside other income sources like Social Security.
  • You have a short-term savings goal: A long-term CD that aligns with a specific financial goal ā€” like saving for a house, wedding, or other milestone ā€” can help you safely grow your money.  
  • You already have emergency savings: With liquid cash reserves set aside, you can commit other funds more easily.

Locking money away might not be smart if:

  • Youā€™re still establishing your emergency fund: First, build up 3-6 months’ expenses in a savings account that you can access anytime.
  • You may need cash unexpectedly: If you face sudden expenses, prioritize flexibility using a high-yield savings account.
  • You mainly want to grow savings long-term: Though today’s CD rates look solid, stocks and other investments often deliver higher returns over longer periods. 

Alternatives to long-term CDs

Instead of locking up your money for years, you may prefer to stay more flexible and earn more interest another way. Here are some alternatives. 

High-yield savings accounts 

These savings accounts wonā€™t lock upļ·½ your money or limit withdrawals. Many online banks now offer yields above 4% on their accounts. While rates may fluctuate, these accounts are much morešŸ„‚ accessible and flexible than CDs. 

CD laddering 

With a CD ladder, you spread your money across CDs with different terms, such as three months, six months, one year, and so on. When each CD matures, you roll it into a new long-term ā™CD at the new interest rate. This approach allows you to lock iš“°n better yields if rates rise over time steadily. It also allows you to have some money available if you need it for other purposes.

The stock market

If youā€™re seeking growth, investing in the šŸ¦©stock market often delivers higher returns over fixed-income assets like CDs.

Historically, the stock market’s is around 10.3%. By comparison, even todayā€™s above-average 5-year CD yields only offer returns of 4-5%.

However, the tradeoff for thšŸ¤”ose higher stock market returns is higher short-term volatility. The market could plunge 20% or more in any given year. Meanwhile, CD rates stay much more stable. 

A balancedšŸ’Æ approach may serve you best rather than an ā€œeither-orā€ decision. Laddering some CDs can prā™‹ovide stability and diversification for part of your portfolio. But, combining high-yield savings and other investments may boost your overall returns.

Bottom line

Investing in a long-term CD has trade-offs. It’s a good idea if you donā€™t need the cash immediately and can earn a decent return.  

It depends on your timeline, risk tolerance, and the šŸ…°interest rate outšŸŒ„look. If you think interest rates will fall soon, you may want to open a CD right now. 

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