NFL

How so many NFL injuries created this gimme DFS formula

Get your popcorn ready, because we are rolling out dimes here on the DFS NFL Playbook this week. Unlike last week’s fiasco, in which pretty much every stud player not named Le’Veon Bell disappointed us, we don’t have many top-tier players to choose from this week because they are all out injured. This benefits those of us who have paid attention all season and know the skills certain backup players bring to the table. Thus, we are in a good spot enteri🌜ng this week in seasonal and, especially, in daily fantasy.

The formula seems easy to un🦹derstand: Lock in the mid-level QB, pay up for the elite-level RBs and blend the mid-tier and value WRs to form the winning lineups. Sounds easy, right? Well, it is. So enough of my talk, let’s get to this week𝔉s plays:

QB, Philip Rivers, Chargers, vs. Raiders

FanDuel: $7,800
DraftKings: $6,200
FantasyAce: $6,650

Breakdown: The loss of Melvin Gordon only will help Rivers throw the ball more in what I project as the highest scoring game of ♔this week. The more the Raiders score, the more Rivers will throw. He dropped 359 yards and four TDs on Oakland earlier this year and put up 336 yards and three TDs against them last year at home.

QB, Matt Ryan, Falcons, vs. 49ers

FD: $8,500
DK: $7,300
FA: $7,300

Breakdown:

QB, Tyrod Taylor, Bills, vs. Browns

FD: $7,600
DK: $5,700
FA: $6,500

Breakdown:

QB, Joe Flacco, Ravens, vs. Eagles

FD: $7,400
DK: $5,700
FA: $5,850

Breakdown:

QB, Derek Carr, Raiders, at Chargers

FD: $7,900
DK: $6,300
FA: $6,450

Breakdown:

RB, David Johnson, Cardinals, vs. Saints

FD: $9,800
DK: $10,100
FA: $6,650

Breakdown: Ever notice how David Johnson always seems to have an ama🔯zing matchup? Well, he does once again this week, and he is my choice if you are going to pay top dollar for a RB this week. Le’Veon Bell is also a great play, but ownership and matchup pushes me in the D.J. direction this week.

RB, Kenneth Farrow, Chargers, vs. Raiders

FD: $6,000
DK: $4,400
FA: $4,500

Breakdown: Most obvious choice on the board. Farrow will lead the Chargers in touches this week and is going up against the third-worst defense in yards per carry and seventh-worst in rushing yards allowed per game. I am hoping the news of a possible split with Ronnie Hillman will scare off enough people to this RB, who very likely could hit three or four tim🅰es his salary value.

RB, LeSean McCoy, Bills, vs. Browns

FD: $9,000
DK: $8,900
FA: $6,100

Breakdown:

RB, LeGarrette Blount, Patriots, at Broncos

FD: $6,300
DK: $5,000
FA: $4,950

Breakdown:

RB, Carlos Hyde, 49ers, at Falcons

FD: $7,000
DK: $5,900
FA: $5,200

Breakdown:

RB, DeMarco Murray, Titans, at Chiefs

FD: $7,400
DK: $6,900
FA: $5,550

Breakdown:

RB, Devonta Freeman, Falcons, vs. 49ers

FD: $7,700
DK: $6,700
FA: $5,700

Breakdown:

RB, Isaiah Crowell, Browns, at Bills

FD: $5,500
DK: $4,100
FA: $4,300

Breakdown:

WR, Mike Evans, Buccaneers, at Cowboys

FD: $8,200
DK: $8,300
FA: $5,850

Breakdown: I’m going to keep using Evans until he gets back on track to his 15-plus target ways. The Buccaneers are playing for their division and playoff life every week now, and when the going gets touไgh💃, as its expected to in Dallas, the tough throws the ball up to Evans.

WR, Stefon Diggs, Vikings, vs. Colts

FD: $6,300
DK: $6,200
FA: $4,650

Breakdown: We’ve been waiting on this matchup for Diggs for more than a month now. He is at home going up against journeyman CB Darryl Morris. Before going down with a knee injury in Week 10, Diggs 🥃was tearing it up — averaging 14 targets, 11 receptions and 107 yard🎶s over his previous three games. I fully expect him to get back on that track this week.

WR, Michael Crabtree, Raiders, at Chargers

FD: $6,000
DK: $5,900
FA: $4,800

Breakdown: The Crabtree whisp👍erer says to all, “Play the Crab” this week. He will be lining up against the Chargers “other” corner while Amari Cooper does battle with Casey Heyward. Love the discounted salary here too, and don’t worry about his questionable status as Crabtree absolut💙ely will be active.

WR, Odell Beckham Jr., Giants, vs. Lions

FD: $8,600
DK: $8,000
FA: $6,500

Breakdown:

WR, Mike Wallace, Ravens, vs. Eagles

FD: $5,900
DK: $4,800
FA: $4,400

Breakdown:

WR, Sammy Watkins, Bills, vs. Browns

FD: $6,100
DK: $5,900
FA: $4,750

Breakdown:

WR, Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals, vs. Saints

FD: $7,200
DK: $7,000
FA: $4,850

Breakdown:

WR, Dez Bryant, Cowboys, vs. Buccaneers

FD: $7,500
DK: $6,800
FA: $5,150

Breakdown:

WR, Davante Adams, Packers, at Bears

FD: $6,900
DK: $6,100
FA: $5,100

Breakdown:

WR, Dontrelle Inman, Chargers, vs. Raiders

FD: $5,500
DK: $5,100
FA: $4,300

Breakdown:

WR, Mohamed Sanu, Falcons, vs. 49ers

FD: $5,300
DK: $4,900
FA: $4,250

Breakdown:

TE, Ladarius Green, Steelers, at Bengals

FD: $5,600
DK: $3,700
FA: $4,150

Breakdown: Green isn’t a volume play TE, but he is a big-play threat at the position — which is practically impossible to find outside of him. The Bengals never guard the TE well and ꦯhave a real problem against speedy TEs, which plays directly into Green’s hands.

TE, Travis Kelce, Chiefs, vs. Titans

FD: $6,900
DK: $5,900
FA: $4,900

Breakdown:

TE, Kyle Rudolph, Vikings, vs. Colts

FD: $5,800
DK: $4,300
FA: $4,600

Breakdown:

TE, Delanie Walker, Titans, at Chiefs

FD: $6,100
DK: $3,900
FA: $4,600

Breakdown:

TE, Antonio Gates, Chargers, vs. Raiders

FD: $5,300
DK: $4,100
FA: $3,900

Breakdown:

TE, Will Tye, Giants, vs. Lions

FD: $4,500
DK: $2,900
FA: $3,500

Breakdown:

K, Kai Forbath, Vikings, vs. Colts

FD: $4,500
DK: N/A
FA: N/A

Breakdown: A minimum-priced kicker at home with th𒆙e third-worst red-zone offense.ᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚ⁤⁤⁤⁤ᩚ⁤⁤⁤⁤ᩚ⁤⁤⁤⁤ᩚ𒀱ᩚᩚᩚ That is a terrific combo for a DFS kicker

K, Sebastian Janikowski, Raiders, at Chargers

FD: $4,900
DK: N/A
FA: N/A

Breakdown: Pay up for the big leg of Janikowski in the game ﷽that I believe will feat⛦ure the most points of the entire week.

K, Josh Lambo, Chargers, vs. Raiders

FD: $4,600
DK: N/A
FA: N/A

Breakdown: If you need to save a couple hundred bucks, just move to the other side of this game and use Josh Lambo🍒 at home.

Justin TuckerAP

K, Justin Tucker, Ravens, vs. Eagles

FD: $5,200
DK: N/A
FA: N/A

Breakdown: Tucker is the best kicke🍷r in the NFL when you combine accuracy and leg strength༺. He always is a great play in DFS, too, if you can afford his salary.

K, Robbie Gould, Giants, vs. Lions

FD: $4,500
DK: N/A
FA: N/A

Breakdown: This game ver🀅y likely🌺 could turn into a field goal fest. Either Matt Prater or the minimum priced Robbie Gould will do.

D/ST, Buffalo Bills, vs. Browns

FD: $5,100
DK: $3,700
FA: $3,300

Breakdown: Any ꧋D/ST against the Browns is in a good♈ spot. Especially when they are at home and favored by 10-plus points.

D/ST, Houston Texans, vs. Jaguars

FD: $5,000
DK: $3,800
FA: $2,800

Breakdown: The Texans make big plays on defense, and Blake Bortles always 🔜is wil🥂ling to oblige in that department.

D/ST, Baltimore Ravens, vs. Eagles

FD: $4,700
DK: $3,100
FA: $2,950

Breakdown: The Ravens playing the Patriots in Foxborou🌊gh last week and going home to face the Eagles is like swinging the baseball bat without the doughnut.

D/ST, New York Giants, vs. Lions

FD: $4,600
DK: $2,900
FA: $2,900

Breakdown: The Giants’ defense just keeps getting better every week.ꦇ Matthew Stafford is not nearly as effective on the road, plus he is playing with a torn ligament in his throwing hand. This one could get real ugly for the Lions’ offense.

D/ST, Minnesota Vikings, vs. Colts

FD: $4,500
DK: $3,500
FA: $2,900

Breakdown: The Colts will 🔴be without three of their five starting offensive linemen and two of their main WRs this week. The Vikings will be able to get to Andrew Luck and cause some damage in the interim.

D/ST, Jacksonville Jaguars, at Texans

FD: $4,100
DK: $2,600
FA: $2,500

Breakdown: Basically a fr🥂ee defense that shouldn’t be too bad since Brock Osweiler is a turnover machine.

Jeff Mans is the head of content at and host of the “The Fantasy Alarm Show” on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio. To get all you need to learn, play and win daily fantasy sports, get the DFS Playbook PRO from FantasyAlarm.com.