With the election a year away, President Trump is only slightly edged out by Joe Biden in six key battleground states while the commander-in-chief is neck and neck with Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Sen. Bernie Sanders in those matchups, a new poll released Monday finds.
Among registered voters, Biden leads Trump by 3 percentage points in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, 2 percentage points in Florida, and 5 percentage points in Arizona, the show. Those numbers fall within or very close to the margins of error in those states.
Trump tops the former vice president by 2 percentage points in North Carolina but the two are even in Michigan.
The president and Sanders split the six states that voted for Trump in 2016, with Sanders taking Michigan and Wisconsin by 2 percentage points and Pennsylvania by 1 percentage point.
Trump leads Sanders by 1 percentage point in Florida and Arizona, and 3 percentage points in North Carolina.
He fares better against the Massachusetts senator.
They are tied in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin but Trump has a 6 percentage point advantage over her in Michigan, a 4 percentage point lead in Florida and a 3 percentage point edge in North Carolina.
Warren only leads Trump in Arizona with 2 percentage points.
The president won all six states in 2016.
An analysis by the Times and Siena suggested that Trump, who is the subject of an impeachment inquiry, retains an advantage in the Electoral College that propelled him to the White House despite losing the popular vote to Hillary Clinton but cautioned that circumstances can change rapidly.
It also said a Democrat would need to win at least three of the six states to defeat Trump if others states’ vote totals unfolded as they did in 2016.
Like 2016, Trump’s strongest support comes from white working-class voters in those states.
He leads all three Democrats among that group.
But Biden, Sanders and Warren all lead him when it comes to black and Hispanic voters.
The poll was conducted between Oct. 13 to Oct. 26 and surveyed 3,766 registered voters.
It has a plus/minus 4.4 percentage point margin of error in Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and a 5.1 percentage point margin of error in Michigan.