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Green tax credits in Biden’s signature Inflation Reduction Act could cost US $1.2 trillion

That’s a lot of green.

Environmentally-focused tax credits in President Bidenā€™s Inflation Reduction Act are poised to cost taxpayers as much as $1.2 trillion over the next decašŸ… de, acš„¹cording to experts and recent cost analyses.

Producers are apā™Œparently cashing in on the sweeping climate and energy bill, which includes generous subsidies for manufacturing electric vehicles, batteries, and wind and solašŸ’žr energy initiatives.

In September of last year, one month after the law passed Congress, the nonpartisan the various energy subsidies coupled with new taxes on corporations and high earners would yield $738 billion in total revenue ā€” while its climate and energy provisions would cost “just” $391 billion out of $437 billion in new spending.

But recent ašŸ…˜nalyses have pegged the cost of investing in renewable energy as far higher.

In March, the legislation will eventually cost ą·“three times the initiaź§‹l estimate: $1.2 trillion.

Meanwhile, a draft analysis argued the pź¦ŗrice tag for the climate provisions will hit $1.2 trillion by 2040 and $780 billion in the next decadļ·½e.

Those increases would end up hiking deficits by $216 billion between 2022 and 2031, according to a January estimate from the White House’s own Office of Management and Budget.

Green tax credits in President Bidenā€™s Inflation Reduction Act are poised to cost taxpayers as much as $1.2 trillion. via REUTERS

ā€œItā€™s the electric vehicles tš“†‰hat overwhelmingly drive the shift from šŸøsurpluses to deficits with this legislation,ā€ Brian Riedl, a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, told The Post.

ā€œThe main change is that the electric vehicle incentives that were originally scored at $14 billion are ā­•now estimated by Goldman Sachs and Brookings to cost $390 billion,ā€ he said. ā€œSo that turned a $230 deficit-reducer into a moreź¦° than $200 billion deficit-increaser ā€” according to the White Houseā€™s own budget office.ā€

According to E.J. Antoni, a rź§‘esearch fellow at the Heritage Foundation, the CBO analysis also failź¦—ed to anticipate how the lawā€™s green subsidies would create incentives for producers.

The soaring costs have heightened tense negotiations between the Biden White House and House Republicans. REUTERS
Producers are apparently cashing in on the sweeping climate and energy bill. UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

Those incentives have spurred some companies Ü«to invest $150 billion collectively in clean energy production, .

Research from George Mason Universityā€™s Mercatus Center also battery manufacturing tax breaks and found those costs aź§‚lone could surge to nearly $200 billion, compared with the original CBO estimate of around $30 billion.

ā€œIt wouldnā€™t be the first time CBO was wildly wrong,” snarked one source close to the US Chamber of Commerce Thursday.

The revised forecasts have prompted Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), who helped negotiate the bill, to accuse the Biden administration in March of improperly implementing the law, and later saying the presidentā€ and Democrats ā€œbroke tšŸ§œheir word to the American public.ā€

The Inflation Reduction Act includes generous subsidies for electric vehicles, batteries, and wind and solar energy initiatives. RUT / SplashNews.com
Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) accused the Biden administration of improperly implementing his law. Getty Images

ā€œLet me be very clear,ā€ he said in . ā€œIf the Administration does not honor whatš’ŠŽ they said they would do, and continue to liberalize what we are supposed to invest in over the next ten years, I will do everything in my power to prevent that from happening. And if they donā€™t changeź¦, then I would vote to repeal my own bill.ā€

Theź¦› error has given ammunition to Manchinā€™s 2024 challenger, West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice, who has mocked the Democratā€™s vote to pass the Inflation Reduction Act as ā€œa real, real screw-up.ā€

It has also heightened tense negotiations between the Biden White House and Houseā™ RepublicšŸ§œans, who passed a debt limit bill last week that would repeal almost all of the green tax credits from Manchinā€™s legislation.