Remember Sam Howell?
He’s the former North Carolina quarterback who threw f▨or over 10,000 yards and 90 touchdowns over three years in Chapel Hill.
He was selected in the fifth round of the 2022 NFL draft.
Well, tha𝓡t guy was just named QB1 for the Washington Commanders in the upcoming🀅 season.
𝄹It was widely thought that Howell would win the job, as new owner Josh Harris, new offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy and returning head coach Ron Rivera wanted to usher in a new era.
Although h🉐e may have earned the starting job, Howell was electric in preꦅseason action.
Given the news,�⭕� it was a good time to look at the state of the Washington Commanders in the betting markets.
How’s the roster shaping up? Are the🌺y overvalued or undervalued by Vegas?
Washington Commanders Betting Odds
Here’s wher✃e the Commanders stand in the major futures markets, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook:
| Super Bowl Odds | +6500 |
| Division Odds | +1300 |
| Win Total | 6.5 (+100/-122) |
Washington is widely picked to finish last in the NFC East, and they’re as high as 80-to-1 to win the Super🔯 Bowl at some books❀.
Here’s where Howell stands in the major futures markets, also courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook:
| MVP | +10000 |
| Season Passing Yards | 3075.5 (-112/-112) |
| Season Passing Touchdowns | 17.5 (-112/-112) |
Oddsmakers are giving the Comma💫nders no shot of making noise this year.
What do we think?
Washington Commanders picks
It sounds counterintuitive, but it might not matter whꦫat happens onꦍ the field this year in Washington.
Fans are so happy to be done with the 💦Dan Snyder era, and they’re just looking to move on.
That said, the future is surprisingly bright in DC. Fans should be e💟xcited about the team.
The Commanders have a great young core.
On offense, the wide ♐receiver trio of Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson and Curtis Samuel will produce explosive plays for years.
On defense, the Commanders boast a quartet of former first-round picks on the defensive line: Chase Young, Montez Sweat, Daron Payne and Jonathan A✨llen.
First-round pick cornerback Emmanuel Forbes provides y♐oung upside in the secondary, and he’s a real b🌺allhawk. He and veteran Kendall Fuller could form a dangerous pass-defense duo.
Defensive coordinator 💮Jack Del Rio’s squad boasted the third-best total defense in the🌸 league (304.6 yards per game allowed), and they finished ninth in Football Outsiders’ Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) metric.
Any improvements upon those numbers would place Washin🥀gton’s defense amꦦong the NFL’s best.
The key for Washington this year will be on offense – how quickly could this unit clꦯܫick?
Bringing in Bieniemy was one of the best coordinator hires anyও team made in the offseason.
The offenses he built in Kansas City were incredible, although having Patrick Mahomes makes any coach’s ဣjob easy.
Bieniemy will tread lightly with Howell.
Expect Washington to ru😼n a lot of run-pass options with short and intermediate throws, leaning o🍸n the young wide receiver trio and the running back duo of Brian Robinson and Antonio Gibson.
The Commanders brought in two veteran offensive linemen during free agency, Andrew Wylie and Nick Gates, so line play should improve. Protecting Howell will be key to his develop𒊎ment.
On paper, Howell has the support staff needed to be an average-to-quality quarterb✱ack,🍸 but can he reward the team’s faith?
It’s a lot of pressure for a first-year quarterback with a new offen🐲sive coordinator, especially when he has only 19 NFL pass attempts.
Remember, Howell was pegged as a future first-round pick after hi♈s sophomore y🎐ear. Injuries plagued North Carolina in his junior year, destroying his production and ruining his draft stock.
Howell has a first-round pick upside.
However, his athleticism could save𝕴 him. He ran for over 800 yards and 11 touchdowns in his final season with the Tar Heels.
I don’t think Howell and thꦇe offense break out enough to make this꧋ team a true contender, especially in Bieniemy’s first season.
However, the defense gives this team an extremely high flꦐoor, and the offense projects to improve as the season progresses.
The schedule is tough, but the Commanders got lucky in the schedule-making lottery, as they have the most net rest days in the NFL (+12).&n✱bsp;
So, why not take a shot with the win total?
Aaron Schatz’s DVOA projections peg Washington for 7.6 win☂s in the upcoming season, which places some value on the Over ꩵ6.5 Wins available in the market.
If the Commanders lean on their defense while Bienemy builds an offense that protects Howell’s inexperience – RPO and optio🌺n calls focusing on short-to-intermediate gains – I could see this team grinding out seven wins. Bienemy will have the extra rest to design optimal game plans weekly.
If I’m wrong, expe൲ct more uphea🎐val in the offseason.
Rivera likely will be fired, and the team will move on꧒ with Bienemy as the future head coach.
The play: Washington Commanders Over 6.5 (+100) at FanDuel Sportsbook