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Iowa vs. Indiana prediction: Women’s college basketball odds, picks

The Caitlin Clark national tour heads to Bloomington Thursday nig🧔ht as Indiana looks to earn a split in the regular-season🦩 series against Iowa. 

The Hawkeyes won the first meeting by a 27-point margin (84-57) despite taking only a 43-37 lead into the 💫third quarter. 

The Hoosiers will be out for revenge as t൲hey try to extend their unbeaten run at home to 14 games.

Indiana has the country’s 11th-longest home winning streak and the longest in the Big Ten.

While Clark and the Hawkeyes are known for their marksmanship, the Hoosiers actually boast the best percentages for field꧃ goals (51.8%) and 3-pointers (41%) in the country.

Given both teams’ proficiency in getting up shots, it’s no surprise we have a total as high as 163.5.

However, a more adv🎉isable ꧒option for bettors might be to target the derivatives market with a play on the halftime total.

Iowa analysis

“There is talent, and there is talent, and there is talent, and then there’s a genius.”

That’s how Mo🎃town’s legendar♎y manager Shelly Berger once described Gary, Indiana’s own Michael Jackson after meeting the iconic singer.

Those exact words could also describe Cla✤rk, arguably the biggest name in college sports.

In her last game, she scored 49 points to break the NCAA Division I women’s all-time scoring record previously held by Washington’s Kelsey Plum.

Clark’s 3,569 career points trails former Kansas star Lynette Woodard by 80 for the women’s major college basketball record.

The NCAA doesn’t recognize Woodard as the all-time scorer because she played at a time (late 1970s, early ‘80s) before the NCAA recognized women’s collegiate sports.

Woodard racked up 3,649 points before the NCAA governed women’s sports, which were previously under the Intercollegiate Athletics for Women. 

Clark needs only 99 points to surpass the NCAA men’s record held by LSU’s Pete Maravich, who finished with 3,667 points when there wasn’t a 3-point line and freshmen weren’t allowed to play on varsity teams.

Not only does Clark lead all divisions in scoring, men’s and women’s, averaging 32.8 points, but she’s also the leade🌼r in assists wit♚h 8.5 per game.

At 40.8%, Clark is one of three women’s college baske🦂tball players this season wit🔥h a above 40%. 

The Hawkeyes point guard is truly a generational ൲talent, and it’s no wonder that Iowa leads the country in scoring with 87.3 points per game.

Indiana Hoosiers Head Coach Teri Moren looks on during the college basketball game between the Indiana Hoosiers and the Illinois Fighting Illini.
Indiana Hoosiers Head Coach Teri Moren looks on during the college basketball game between the Indiana Hoosiers and the Illinois Fighting Illini. Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Indiana analysis

Indiana isn’t too far behind Iowa in scoring, ranking sixth with an average of 80.9 poℱints ꦆper game.

The Hoosie🍬rs have three players who average at least 28 minutes and shoot 40% o💫r better from beyond the arc. 

Whereas, even with Cl𒁃ark’s prodigious shooting, the Hawkeyes don’t have a single player that’s matche𝄹d such a feat. 

I𒀰n the earlier meeting, Indiana didn’t arrive in Iowa City until the morning of the game due to a winter storm that꧒ shut down travel around the state.

Yet, the Hoosiers still put up 37 points 𒀰in the first half.


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It’s certainly possible Indiana simply ran out of gas iไn the second half after enduring the difficult travel conditions.

The Hoosiers finished the game shooting 42.6% from the floor an💟d 25% from behind🌸 the perimeter.

Indiana head coach Ter🧸i Moren painted a different picture in her postgame press conference wit🌱h reporters. 

“We’re not going to use that as an excuse,” Moren said of the travel issues. “That’s not the excuse why we lost.”

Nonetheless, Moren did unwillingly admit that her team lookeไd “out of sorts.”

In⭕diana’൲s shooting performance was well below its season averages. Thus, I’d have to think it’ll perform much better in front of a raucous home crowd at Assembly Hall.

Betting on College Basketball?

Iowa vs. Indiana pick

There’s no question Clark will be the best player onꦆ the court Thursday night, and as a point guard, she can affect the game by dictating the tempo.

Per HerHoopStats.com, the Hawkeyes rank 15th in pace, averaꦡging 77.3 possessions per 40 m❀inutes. Their uptempo style is designed to help speed up their opponents and tilt the game in Iowa’s favor. 

With both teams ranked in the top 10 for offensive ef﷽ficiency, there should be a high level of shot-making on display. 

Rather than playing an over for the full game, I prefer to target the shorter number in th💞e first half, with a total of 77.5 at BetRivers. 

This should give me some insurance should the Hoosiers start to wear down in the second half, like they did in the first matchꦿup.

Pick: 1H over 77.5 (-125)