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Home prices surge to another record high in February, defying expectations

Home prices rose to a new record in February amid an ongoing , even as high mortgage rates p🔯ushed a⛦ffordability out of reach for more Americans.

Prices increased 6.4% nationally 🃏in February when compared with the previous year, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index showed on Tuesday. That is up from the 6% annual increase recorded the prior month. It marks the fastest pace of growth since November 2022.

On a monthly basis, prices climbed 0.4%, according to t🌜he🍌 index.

“Home prices continue to defy expectations in the face of high mortgage rates and worsening affordability,” said Lisa Sturtevant, Bright MLS chief economist.

The 10-city composite, which ♋encompasses Los Angeles, Miami and New York, rose 8% annually, compared with an increase of 7.4% in January. The 20-city composite, which also tracks housing prices in Dallas and Seattle, posted an annual gain of 7.3%, which also marks an increase from the 6.6% figure 🐠recorded the previous month.

Prices rose in 18 of the 20 major met♐ro markets tracked by the index.

Home for sale
Prices increased 6.4% nationally in February when compared with the previous year, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index showed. AP

The largest price gain took place in San Diego, which recorded a year-over-year increase of 11.4%. It 🌳was followed by Chicago and Detroit, each with an 8.9% increase. In fact, home prices in San Diego, Los Angeles, Washington, DC, and New York all hit an all-time high in February.

Portland♑, Oregon, saw the smallest gain in February, with home prices climbing just 2.2% from the prior🌠 year.

“Following last year’s decline, US home prices are at or near all-time highs,” said Brian Luke, head of commodities, real and digital assets at S&P DJI, in a release. “Since the previous peak in prices in 2022, this marks the second time home prices have pushed higher in the face of economic uncertainty.”

Home sold sign
Home prices in San Diego, Los Angeles, Washington, DC, and New York all hit an all-time high in February. Christopher Sadowski

The Case-Shiller index reports with a two-𝔍month delay, meaning it may not capture the latest ongoings♌ in the market. 

There are a number of driving forces behind the aff✃ordability c🍬risis. Years of underbuilding fueled a shor🅰tage of homes in the country, a problem that was later exacerbated by the rapid rise in mortgage rates and expensive construction materials.

Higher mortgage rates over the past three years have also created a “golden handcuff” effect in the housing market. Sellers who locked in a record-low mortgage rate of 3% or less during the pandemic began have been reluctant to sell, limiting supply further and leaving few options for eager would-be buyers.

Economists predict that mortgage rates will remain elevated in 2024 and that they will only begin to fall once the Federal Reserve starts cutting rates.

Even then, rates are unlikely to return to the lows seen during the pandemic. On top of that, investors are growing skeptical about the odds of a Fed rate hike this year given the string of hotter-than-expected inflation reports at the beginning of the year.