Tꦡhe RBC Canadian Open changes venues each year, so we have little course history to work with this week.
The event has only been held at Hamilton Golf & Country Club two times over the last 15 years — in 2019 when Rory McIlroy won and in 2012 when Scott Piercy came💫 out on top.
The course has gone through major reno♉vations since Piercy’s victory more than a decade ago.
It has been lengthened by 118 yards, all 18 🌞greens were redone, tཧrees were removed and the bunkers rebuilt.
In other words, you can ignore all course history when making your 𓃲picks this we🎃ek.
The course is a par-70 that measures 7,084 yards — a short course compared to PGA Tour standards. While there are only 🦩two par-5s, we can expect favorable scoring conditiꦕons.
With thick rough, narrow fairways and only a few long holes, accuracy should be more impo🐠rtant than distance off the tee. The greens are average in size and feature bentgrass.
I’m not putting a stro𓆉ng emphasis on course fit this week.
For one, we don’t know how it will💟 truly play given the renovations, and the course is short enough that any type of golfer sh🍸ould be able to contend.
Instead, I will be focusing more on recent form.
Here are three best bets🤪 to win the RBC Canadian O♏pen:
Alex Noren (25/1, BetMGM)
N♍oren is easily having his most consiste🍒nt season.
Since the start of October,𒁏 he has made 17 straight cuts, and since the start of March 🦩he has eight straight top-25 finishes.
More importantly, he has consistently gained strokes in all 𓄧four of the main categories (off the tee, appro🌳ach, around the green and putting).
He’s still searching for his 🌳first win on the PGA Tour, but with 11 professional victories, he certainly knows how to win, and his game is trending in the right direction.
Th🎉is is a fair number given how weak the field⛄ is.
Because of his consistency, I will be adding a to📖p-20 bet on him as well at +145 odds.
Maverick McNealy (35/1, bet365)
McNealy missed time last year with an injury b�♛�ut is back and playing some great golf.
He has mad🍃e 11 straight cuts on the PGA Tour and has posted three top-20 finishes during that stretch.
He has a very con🧸sistent st🦩at profile; he is good off the tee and is an excellent scrambler and putter.
The approach play is what has held him back from truly contending in an event this year, but something seem🅠s to have clicked on that front.
After losing strokes on approach in seven of his first eight events this year, he has gained at least 1.6 strokes🎃 on approach in three of his last four events.
If that continues, I like his 𝐆chances of contending.
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Adam Scott (40/1, bet365)
I have cons💝istently bet on Scottಌ this year and hope that loyalty will be rewarded soon.
He had a nice stretch on the DP World Tour in the fall and already has eight top-30 finishes in 1𝐆1 PGA Tour starts in 2024.
The problem (at least for me) is that he has𝔉n’t been able to find his way back into the ღwinner’s circle.
The underlying statistics are promising, as he’s shown an ability to gain stꦗrokes in all facets of his game.
He 🙈tends to play his best on classical courses, and Hamilt𓄧on seems to fit that mold.
He has won all over the worl🐷d (31 total wins, 14 PGA Tour wins), so maybe he can add another trophy to his mantle this week.
He’s certainly more 💝appealing than those pri🧔ced around him in the market.