Donald Trump dominates Kamala Harris in swath of swing-state polls
Despšite mainstream mediaās support in the early days of her fledgling presidentialą¦ campaign, Kamala Harris still has ground to make up in the battlegrounds against Donald Trump.
Thatās the upshot of a&nbsš¦p; niā¤ne-state survey conducted July 22 to 24 that shows the Republican nominee ahead or tied in all but one state.
While Harris leads Trump in Minnesota 44% to 41% (with Robert Kennedy Jr. at 6%), and the two are tied in Wisconsin at 44% each (with 5% to Kennedy),į©į©į©į©į©į©ā¤ā¤ā¤ā¤į©ā¤ā¤ā¤ā¤į©ā¤ā¤ā¤ā¤į©š±į©į©į© the other numbers go the former presidentās way.
In Arizona, where Sen. Mark Kelly is getting a hard look as a running mate on the Democrat ticket (with the encouragement of the state party, no less), Trump leads Harris 46% to 43%, with š°Kennedy taking 4%.
In Florida, which the vice president’s campaign manager,Ā Jen OāMalley Dillon,Ā sį£aid wasnāt in play when President Biden was the nominee, Trump leads 47% to 39%, with Kennedy mired at 5%.
Last time this pollster sampled Florida, Biden was in the race anš³d trailed by 7, so Harris has plenty of work to do to close the gap in a state with nearly 1 million more Republicans than Democrats.
Tļ·½rumpš¼ leads by 5 points in Georgia, 47% to 42%, with Kennedy taking 3%.
In Michigan, where Gov. Gretchen Whitmer was talked up as possibly getting a spot on what would be a historically unprecedented all-female ticket on aš major-party slate, Trump leads 44% to 41%, with Kennedy at 7% ā his best shoź©²wing in any state in this battleground survey.
Nevada is a rešølative nail-biter compared with other swing states polled. There, Trump is ahead 45% to 43% over Harris.
Kennedy is still a nuisance here, taking 5Ü«% support.
North Carolina is a 3-point race in Trumpās favor: 46% to 43%, with another 4% backing Kennedy. Gov. Roy Cooper&nbsš±p;is under consideration as Harrisā running mate, and he could be a strategic pick in a state Trump carried four yeš¦ars ago by 1.34% of the vote.
In pivotal Pennsylvania, where Gov. Josh Shapiro is yet another Democš¼ratic goš¬vernor under consideration toš½ be Harrisā running mate, the spread isź¦ 46% to 42%.
As š§in so many of these states, Kennedy is a single-digit spoiler, with 5% support.
If these results are validated in November, it wišll be quite a reversal of fortunes for Democrats. Biden won all of š¤”the states polled here in 2020 except Florida and North Carolina.
This time, Trump would also be taking more Democratic votes from the 2020 election thā¤an Harris would from the Republican ledger in seven of the states polled ā Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigašn, Minnesota, North Carolina and Pennsylvania.
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Certain issues play to one candidateās strengths over the other’s in this survey.
Trump is trusted more across the states onź¦¬ the economy, inflation, immigration, crime, national defense and Israelās military operation in Gaza.
Harris gets higher marks on health care, repšroductive rights and environmental policy.Ā
This is only the most recent group of battleground poālls to show a tight race in the swing statš§es with a slight Trump advantage.
Emerson College polling conducted July 22 and 23 shows Trump ź¦ with marginal leads in Arizona (+5),ź¦ Georgia (+2), Michigan (+1) and Pennsylvania (+2).
And just like in the Redfield and Wiltonš survey, Emerson has the two candidates iš¤Ŗn a dead heat in Wisconsin.