Swing States 2024
Politics

Trump-Harris race neck-and-neck in seven battleground states: poll

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are virtually deadź¦¦locked in all seven vital battleground states with less than 10 weeks to go beforeš”‰ Eleą± ction Day.

Trump, 78, narrowly leads his Democratic rival in Arizona (50%-47%), North Carolina (49%-48%) and Wisconsin (49%-48%), acšŸŸcording to a survey conducted by that was made public Thursday.

Most battleground state polling has generally pegged the 2024 presidential race as a toss-up. AFP via Getty Images

Harris, 59, hašŸ§øs the slimmest of edges in Georgia (49%-48%), Michigan (50%-47%) and Nevada (49%-48%).

In Pennsylvania, considered byš“ƒ² many the state on which the election outcome will turn, Trump and Harris each received 48% sšŸ»upport.

In each state, thā™’e gap between the two candidates was within the poll margin of error.

ā€œHarris leads Trump among independents in each state, with the exception of Nevada, where Trump leads 50% to 44%,” according to Emerson College Polling executive director Spencer Kimball. “In six of the seven swing states, Harris leads Trump among women; however, in Arizona, Trump has a two-point edge on Harris among women voters, a group that broke for Biden by about three points in 2020.ā€

The survey showed Democrats on track to sweep all five swing state Senate races, with Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) topping Republican Kari Lake 49% to 42%; Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) edging out former Rep. Mike RošŸ¦©gers (R-Mich.) 47% to 41%; Sen. Bob Casey Jr. (D-Pa.) beating Republican Dave McCormick 48% to 44%; Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) leading Republican Eric Hovde 49% to 48%; and Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) ahead of Republican Sam Brown 50% to 40%.

In North Carolina’s gubernatorial race, Democratic state Attorney General Josh Stein bested Republican Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson 47% to 41%, according to the poll.

Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, embarked Wednesday on a two-day bus tour of Georgia, while the state’s Republican governor, Brian Kemp, has .

Donald Trump has accused the vice president of poaching his “no tax on tips” proposal. Getty Images
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are scheduled to square off in a debate on Sept. 10. Mandi Wright and Ryan Garza / USA TODAY NETWORK

Six ofš’€° the seven states polled went for Biden in 2020, with only šŸ¼North Carolina backing Trump.

The economy was the top issue for voters in all seven states. Housing affordability was considered the second-most important issue by residents of Georgia and Nevada, “threats to democracy” was second-most important in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, immigration was the second issue in Arizona and health care was deemed second-most important by voters in North Carolina.

The Emerson College Polling and the Hill survey samplšŸŒed 720 likely voters in Arizona with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6%.

In Georgia and Michigan, 800 likely voters were surveyed with a margišŸ¦¹n of error ošŸ¦©f 3.4%, while 950 likely voters were polled in Pennsylvania with a 3.1% margin of error.

In Nevada, 1,168 likely voters were polled with a margin of error of 2.8%; 775 likely voters in North Carolina were surveyed šŸ»witź¦•h a margin of error of 3.5%; and 850 likely voters in Wisconsin were polled with a margin of error of 3.3%.

The poll was taken Aug. 25-28, following last week’s Democratic National Convention.