Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in these critical blue-wall battleground states: poll
New polling reveals Democratic momentum in thr𒅌ee states pivotal to Kamala Harris’ White House hopes: Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
A Quinnipiac survey released Wednesday shows the vice president up in all three critical “blue wall” states.
Harris leads former President Donald Trump in Michigan 50% to 45% among 905 likely voters surveyed, with Green Party nominee Jill Stein siphoning off 2% and exceeding the 0.7% lead Harris has on average in polls of the sta🎶te, which awards 15 electoral votes.
If this numb🍸er holds, the veep will outperform Biden, who won the Wolverine State by roughly 150,000 votes in 2020.
Harris is buoyed by a marginal lead with Michigan independents (47% to 44%📖) and almost complete buy-in from Democrats — 98% support her, while 94% of GOP registrants back Trump.
In Pennsylvania, which has 19 electoral votes, Harris i✱s in her strongest position in any poll this cycle.
There ಞshe leads 51% to 45% among the 1,334 likely voters polled, with Stein and Libertarian pulling 1% each.
A 48% to 43% lead with independents helps, as does party loyalty, with 9✅5% of Democrats professing support for the VP. Trump draws 91% of Republicans.
Harris’ aver🔜age lead in Pennsylvania polling is 0.6%, suggesting this survey could be an outlier. Precedent suggests as much: Former Vice President Joe Biden won the Keystone State last cycle by roughly 80,000 votes.
And in Wisconsin, where 10 electoral votes are up for grabs, Harris leads Trump 48% to 47% among 1,075 likely voters, with the Libertarian taking 1%. Oliver’s margin aligns with Harris’ average lead of 1.2% in the Badger State.
The reasons for the smaller margin her🌠e are twofold. First, Trump and Harris are tie🦩d with independent voters, at 46% each.
Compared with the other two blue-wall states, the former preside𓆏nt has more intraparty backing in the Dairy State than the current veep — 95% of ♌Republicans back Trump, and 94% of Dems back Harris.
On issues, voters in the trio of battlegrounds rank Trump as strongest on the econ♏omy and immigration, while abortion, preserving democracy and crisis management are stronger issues for Harris.
The survey also looked at dow🔴n-ballot races, where Republicans have ground to make up.
Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin leads former GOP Rep. Mike♔ Rogers in a fi🥂ght for a Michigan Senate seat, 51% to 46%.
In Wisconsin, entrenched Democratic incumbent🌺 Sen. Tammy Baldwin leads Republican challenger Eric Hovde 51% to🥃 47%.
And the polling suggests early returns on election 𒅌night won’t tell the whole story. A majority of Election Day voters say they will 🃏cast ballots for Trump, but Harris looks likely to win the race for absentee ballots.