Early mail-in voting data in three key states show good news for Trump: expert
Vo༺te-by-mail dat🦂a in three key states show the edge Democrats enjoyed in 2020 has plummeted, something one expert said is a great sign for Republicans and
“It’s great news that Republicans are starting to early vote,” Jimmy Keady, founder and president of JLK Political Strategies, a Republican consulting firm, told Fox News Digital.
The comments come as the D🅰emocratic edge in vote-by-mail requests has shrunk significantly in Florida, North Carolina , according to data by Decision Desk HQ, signaling a shift in voter habits that have defined the last two elections.
According to the data, the Democratic l𝓡ead in vote-by-ma🌄il requests has shrunk by over 5% in Florida, nearly 15% in North Carolina and over 35% in Pennsylvania.
Getting voters out to early in-person voting or to vote by mail 🍌can free up resources for campaigns, Keady said, allowing them to focus their attention on lower-propensity voters who often play a♏ big role in deciding elections.
“I’m sure voters complain all the time about text messages, about getting mail, about getting robocalls to go vote,” Keady said. “Campaigns are now sophisticated enough that once you go vote, those stop … once a voter goes to vote, and those stop, that allows resource allocation from that voter to another voter.”
Getting those lower-propensity voters out could play a huge role in states like Pennsylvania and Noꦬrth Caro✱lina, which are both expected to once again be swing states with razor-thin margins.
Vice President Kamala Harris holds a lead of less than a point in Pennsylvania, ꦐwhile Trump holds a similar-size lead in , according to the Real Clear Politics polling average, meaning the ground game to turn out voters on each side could be the deciding factor in the election.
The Democratic advantage in mail-in and early voting very well might have been 🌼the difference in the 2020 election, but Keady sees shifting momentum for the GOP on that 🎉front in 2024.
“It definitely signals that A, there’s turnout … but B, also that the base has adopted, kind of being able to accept that early voting is a proper and mostly secure way to vote,” Keady said.
That will help Republicans compete with Democrats inꦛ an area where the party was at a decided disadvantage in 2020, Keady noted, something that could swing another close ele🦹ction
“As Republicans, we have to start getting the base to early vote, to do mail-in ballot, to do these things that we know are safe and secure, to get people out to the polls.
“The Democrats have done this really well, for years.”
