Betting

BetMGM bonus code NPNEWSGET: Warriors vs. Timberwolves Game 1 prediction, odds, props

By
Erich Richter
Published May 6, 2025, 5:30 p.m. ET
Minnesota Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards celebrating after making a 3-point shot during a NBA playoff game against the Los Angeles Lakers
Minnesota Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards celebrating after making a 3-point shot during a NBA playoff game against the Los Angeles Lakers. AP

Golden State had to use every bit of effort and energy possible to bešŸ’Ÿš“„§at the Rockets in a seven-game series.

They head to Minnesota just two days later for a critiš“†‰cal Game 1 against the rested Timberwolves squad in the Western Conference semifinals.

The Warriors are 6.5-point underdogs for this game, according to BetMGM.

Golden State opened as six-point dogs Monday morning but the liną¦“e has been bet up, even as high as seven points at other shops.

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Warriors vs. Timberwolves prediction

Former Timberwolf Jimmy Butler has been broughtšŸŽ in to the Warriors for one reason: to win games like this in the playoffs.

Whether “Playoff Jimmy” is still there now at 35 years old is yet to be seen; it wasn’t really there in a seven-game slog against the Rockets.

Will Tuesday night be the Jimmy Butler show?
Will Tuesday night be the Jimmy Butler show? NBAE via Getty Images

Butlź¦er played fully iš”‰n five games, scoring more than 20 points in four of them and just eight points in a blowout Game 5.

The 18.3 points per gamšŸŽƒe are thešŸ…ŗ lowest total that he has had in a playoff series since 2021 (seven series played).

If Golden State wantsąµ© to win, it will be aboź¦‘ut Butler early and often.

Betting on the NBA?

My model has this spread much closer than what it’s being bet at, with a projected score of 104.19-102.79 in favor of the Timberwolves.

That’s enough of an edge to bet the spread, as there’s already been three underdog wins in Game 1 of these conference semifinal series.

Butler to score 25+ points isn’t a bad bet either, considering he should get to the line at an incredible rate here.

PICK: Warriors +6.5 (-110) | Butler 25+ points (+140, BetMGM)

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season heā€™sš” showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop āœ…market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.

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